The fallout from yesterday ’s neglect roquette launching is maturate as question are lift about the future of the International Space Station ( ISS ) .
NASA cosmonaut Nick Hague and Russian cosmonaut Alexey Ovchinin were lucky to escape with their lives after their Soyuz rocketexperienced a problemon the way to the ISS , resulting in an emergency landing back on Earth .
“ I ’m thankful that everyone is good , ” NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine read in astatementafter they had landed near the townspeople of Dzhezkazgan in Kazakhstan . “ A thorough probe into the reason of the incident will be conducted . ”
They were hypothesise to join three crewmembers on the ISS – Serena Auñón - Chancellor from the US , Alexander Gerst from Germany , and Sergey Prokopyev from Russia – who themselves were theorise to take back to Earth in December .
But Yesterday ’s failed launching mean the Soyuz fleet – presently the only agency astronauts can reach the ISS – is prime while an investigating into the stroke is ongoing . And if the investigation is protracted , it raisesuncomfortable questions .
The ISS has been unendingly crew since November 2 , 2000 , with up to six crew living on the station at any one time . The station relies on uninterrupted launches to maintain crew rotation and keep the ISS operational .
The three crew on table the ISS have a Soyuz docked to the station for returning to Earth . That spacecraft only has an operational life of 200 days until early January 2019 , though , which means they must yield by then .
This could intend that , if another Soyuz is not ready to vanish by January , the ISS could be give without a crowd . Two novel US spacecraft to establish humans , being build by SpaceX and Boeing , are not expected to start procedure untilmid-2019at the early .
What ’s more , those new US spacecraft require that a bunch is on board the post to avail the vehicle tail . So all Bob Hope rest on the Soyuz , and without it the ISS could be leave uncrewed for a short while and forced to wing empty while controlled from the ground .
" That ’s something that we ’re always disposed for , " NASA ’s Kenny Todd , the station ’s commission operations integrating coach , said in a pressing league yesterday . " I feel very confident that we could fly for a substantial period of time . "
That would be a calamity for the US , Russia , and the other station partner . The post highlight how unstable ouraccess to spacecurrently is , and makes the decision to scrap the Space Shuttle in 2011 with no permutation ready a hapless one .
“ [ W]e’ve been reliant on the Russians for more than seven years now , and having a unmarried - point failure mode in a critical element like access to blank space has now burnt the spaceflight enterprise . Badly , ” Eric Berger indite forArs Technica .
It is possible that Russia could solve the job with its Soyuz spacecraft fairly speedily , and flee again before the destruction of the year . But making indisputable the return is in good order investigated is important to forestall another accident .
Russia , for its part , seemspretty confidentthe Soyuz will be okay . Russian space agency ( Rocosmos ) chief Dmitry Rogozin said that Hague and Ovchinin would vanish to the ISS in bound of next twelvemonth . What befall up to then is undecipherable .
Todd said that NASA would " verify we do n’t have to de - crew place , " and front at their choice . That could includelaunching an empty Soyuzspacecraft to the station in December , to prolong the current crew ’s stay .
No one will want the ISS to continue uncrewed , but equally significant is preventing another accident . For now , it ’s a waitress game to see what options are available . Meanwhile , the immediate future of the ISS cling in the balance .
